Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -138 TXST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -1.4 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -1.1 (+9.1) | 139.7 (+20.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -1.0 (+9.0) | 138.2 (+21.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -1.6 (+9.6) | 137.7 (+22.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -1.2 (+9.2) | 138.4 (+21.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | TXST 77 – 71 GASO |
| Dec 21, 2024 | TXST 83 – 61 GASO |
| Jan 27, 2023 | TXST 70 – 67 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#310) | -4.1 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#334) | -0.60 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#316) | -0.59 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#335) | 0.490 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.