Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | EMU +180 WRST -215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +4 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -4.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -5.6 (+9.6) | 144.0 (+24.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.2 (+6.2) | 146.8 (+21.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.4 (+6.4) | 147.5 (+20.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.2 (+6.2) | 146.4 (+21.6) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | WRST 70 – 64 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#311) | -0.3 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#211) | -0.04 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#254) | 0.29 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#235) | 0.501 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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