Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | WRST -550 EMU +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -9.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -7.0 (-1.0) | 137.9 (-3.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -8.0 (-2.0) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -7.8 (-1.8) | 137.2 (-3.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -7.9 (-1.9) | 140.2 (-6.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | EMU 86 – 82 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#120) | -2.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#237) | 0.10 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#193) | -0.06 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#193) | 0.492 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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