Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ +250 UCI -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.6 (+27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -6.8 (+22.8) | 128.9 (-4.9) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -7.2 (+23.2) | 129.2 (-5.2) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -6.1 (+22.1) | 129.6 (-5.6) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.5 (+21.5) | 128.6 (-4.6) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | DUQ 66 – 62 UCI |
| Dec 19, 2021 | DUQ 76 – 54 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 32-7 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 14-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#238) | 11.6 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#313) | 3.14 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#277) | 3.91 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#324) | 0.658 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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