Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -1200 VMI +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +7 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -6.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -5.0 (+2.0) | 144.1 (+4.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -9.1 (-2.1) | 145.2 (+3.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -5.0 (+2.0) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -5.1 (+1.9) | 144.8 (+4.2) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2025 | RICH 87 – 54 VMI |
| Nov 7, 2023 | RICH 93 – 75 VMI |
| Nov 8, 2022 | RICH 69 – 48 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#272) | -8.4 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#287) | -1.59 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#285) | -1.83 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.433 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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