Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -1600 VMI +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +33 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -13.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -9.5 (+23.5) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -11.5 (+21.5) | 149.0 (-8.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -13.1 (+19.9) | 151.4 (-10.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -13.9 (+19.1) | 154.7 (-13.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | RICH 78 – 71 VMI |
| Nov 7, 2023 | RICH 93 – 75 VMI |
| Nov 8, 2022 | RICH 69 – 48 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#197) | -8.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#87) | -1.37 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#108) | -2.26 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#31) | 0.390 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 56.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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