And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Steinberg Wellness Center · December 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LEH -5.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money LIU +195 / LEH -230
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIU win
Actual LEH +1 119 Lost
Massey LIU -0.6 (-1.6)
Massey Totals 147.7 (-28.7)
Bradley-Terry 44%
Weighted B-T 40%
Baseline Plus ML LIU -1.6 (-2.6) 142.4 (-23.4) 52%
Model 4 ML LIU -1.4 (-2.4) 137.7 (-18.7) 53%
Model 3 ML LIU -1.8 (-2.8) 142.3 (-23.3) 54%
Baseline ML LIU -1.4 (-2.4) 143.5 (-24.5) 50%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 LIU 8782 LEH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIU LEH
Overall 17-16 11-19
Conference 12-4 6-12
Home 10-5 8-5
Away 7-9 3-14
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.5 68.7
Avg Pts Against 66.5 72.2
Massey -9.3 (#315) -5.7 (#270)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#290) -0.35 (#203)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.05 (#299) -0.76 (#222)
RPI 0.451 (#264) 0.502 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors LIU LEH
FG% 40.6% 44.5%
3PT% 30.3% 34.9%
REB / G 33.6 28.9
OREB / G 11.2 6.4
AST / TO 0.78 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.8% 51.2%
TOV% 19.4% 14.8%
ORB% 30.2% 18.8%
FT Rate 21.7% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 54.0%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 12.0%
DRB% 68.6% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 40.0% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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