Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -400 IUIN +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -9.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -7.7 (-1.7) | 143.4 (+0.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -7.6 (-1.6) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -8.4 (-2.4) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -8.2 (-2.2) | 144.0 (+0.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#228) | -9.2 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#318) | -2.51 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#317) | -3.30 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#327) | 0.370 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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