Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UPST +280 YSU -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -5.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.0 (-0.0) | 150.5 (-14.5) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -6.4 (-1.6) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -5.4 (-2.6) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -6.1 (-1.9) | 150.4 (-14.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | YSU 74 – 65 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#347) | -2.5 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#342) | -0.25 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.56 (#344) | -0.42 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#315) | 0.449 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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