Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -20000 GB +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -23.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -20.5 (-10.5) | 135.2 (-1.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -20.6 (-10.6) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -17.7 (-7.7) | 136.3 (-2.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -21.1 (-11.1) | 133.1 (+0.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 9-1 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#63) | -10.2 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#6) | -2.34 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.61 (#5) | -2.59 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.667 (#9) | 0.383 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 5.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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