Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | ACU -450 TXSO +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -11.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -8.5 (-4.5) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -10.5 (-6.5) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -11.2 (-7.2) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -11.3 (-7.3) | 144.8 (-10.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2025 | ACU 75 – 68 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#218) | -10.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#194) | -2.50 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#181) | -3.54 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#211) | 0.434 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.0% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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