Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -135 HAMP +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -3.5 (-11.5) | 139.4 (+4.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -3.8 (-11.8) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -3.6 (-11.6) | 139.9 (+4.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -2.9 (-10.9) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | HAMP 93 – 71 L-MD |
| Dec 8, 2022 | HAMP 66 – 61 L-MD |
| Dec 12, 2021 | L-MD 67 – 54 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | L-MD | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#243) | -3.7 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#184) | -0.84 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#192) | -0.94 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#183) | 0.477 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | L-MD | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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