Betting Lines
| Spread | HAMP -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP -278 L-MD +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +22 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -10.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -7.7 (+14.3) | 139.2 (+24.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -7.8 (+14.2) | 139.5 (+24.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -7.9 (+14.1) | 139.4 (+24.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -7.6 (+14.4) | 138.3 (+25.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | HAMP 76 – 68 L-MD |
| Dec 8, 2022 | HAMP 66 – 61 L-MD |
| Dec 12, 2021 | L-MD 67 – 54 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#227) | -9.1 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#242) | -2.14 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#239) | -3.18 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#327) | 0.377 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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