Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +125 L-MD -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | HAMP -2.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAMP -2.8 (+2.2) | 141.0 (-14.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAMP -0.9 (+4.1) | 139.1 (-12.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAMP -2.4 (+2.6) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HAMP -2.3 (+2.7) | 141.6 (-14.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | HAMP 93 – 71 L-MD |
| Dec 21, 2024 | HAMP 76 – 68 L-MD |
| Dec 12, 2021 | L-MD 67 – 54 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#336) | -8.0 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#300) | -0.91 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#295) | -1.42 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#315) | 0.440 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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