Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -185 AKR +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +16 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -5.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.9 (-38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -5.4 (+10.6) | 156.7 (-24.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -7.2 (+8.8) | 158.6 (-26.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -6.1 (+9.9) | 159.5 (-27.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -5.7 (+10.3) | 162.2 (-30.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | YALE 97 – 94 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 17-1 |
| Home | 11-0 | 16-0 |
| Away | 7-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#95) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | 0.08 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#188) | 0.10 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#146) | 0.514 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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