Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +3 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -2.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (+26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -0.9 (-3.9) | 154.6 (+36.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -1.5 (-4.5) | 154.4 (+36.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -1.8 (-4.8) | 154.3 (+36.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -1.8 (-4.8) | 153.0 (+38.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | YALE 74 – 58 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-3 |
| Home | 15-0 | 10-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#25) | 11.5 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#40) | 2.12 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#42) | 3.13 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#27) | 0.618 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 45.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.98 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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