Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | FRES +135 CBU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +17 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -0.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FRES -0.3 (-17.3) | 151.4 (+3.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FRES -0.8 (-17.8) | 149.6 (+5.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FRES -0.1 (-17.1) | 148.4 (+6.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -0.6 (-16.4) | 150.5 (+4.5) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2024 | CBU 86 – 81 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#278) | -1.3 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#263) | -0.18 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#258) | -0.25 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#298) | 0.487 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.