Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FRES +230 CBU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -0.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -0.9 (-4.1) | 146.6 (+20.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.8 (-4.2) | 148.4 (+18.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -0.6 (-4.4) | 146.1 (+20.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -1.1 (-3.9) | 145.1 (+21.9) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | CBU 86 – 69 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FRES | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#207) | -1.8 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#229) | -0.31 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#251) | 0.10 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#269) | 0.499 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FRES | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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