Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU +1300 SAM -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +7 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -19.3 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -11.0 (+4.0) | 158.2 (+28.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -12.5 (+5.5) | 159.1 (+27.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -11.3 (+4.3) | 161.5 (+25.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -12.5 (+5.5) | 162.3 (+24.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2023 | SAM 118 – 91 AAMU |
| Nov 18, 2022 | SAM 84 – 64 AAMU |
| Dec 12, 2021 | SAM 52 – 50 AAMU |
| Nov 29, 2020 | AAMU 78 – 76 SAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -18.5 (#361) | 5.0 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#356) | 1.33 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#353) | 1.37 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#360) | 0.546 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 58.8% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.