Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -50000 BELL +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +24 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -24.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -23.2 (+0.8) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -22.3 (+1.7) | 148.9 (-14.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -21.2 (+2.8) | 150.4 (-16.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -22.6 (+1.4) | 147.1 (-13.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 0-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 81.3 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#81) | -13.8 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#35) | -3.48 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#52) | -4.38 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#57) | 0.313 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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