Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -30.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +36 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -24.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -24.0 (+12.0) | 135.0 (+3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -23.3 (+12.7) | 135.7 (+2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -20.5 (+15.5) | 134.4 (+3.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -22.0 (+14.0) | 134.9 (+3.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | HOU 82 – 50 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-5 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 10-0 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 21.1 (#6) | 0.8 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#63) | -1.20 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#48) | -1.25 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#52) | 0.408 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.0% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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