Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -225 CSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NEV -13.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -10.6 (-12.6) | 140.2 (-10.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -10.7 (-12.7) | 142.3 (-12.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -10.7 (-12.7) | 142.3 (-12.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -10.9 (-12.9) | 142.4 (-12.4) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | NEV 75 – 62 CSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CSU 67 – 59 NEV |
| Feb 19, 2025 | CSU 79 – 71 NEV |
| Mar 15, 2024 | CSU 85 – 78 NEV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | NEV 77 – 74 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#50) | 2.2 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#70) | 0.53 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#69) | 0.89 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#44) | 0.517 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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