Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
82 83
FINAL Neutral Never Forget Tribute Classic
Princeton Tigers
Prudential Center (Neutral) · December 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -6.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Over
Money RUTG -280 / PRIN +230
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual PRIN +1 165 Lost
Massey RUTG -5.1 (-6.1)
Massey Totals 158.5 (+6.5)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 69%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -3.7 (-4.7) 150.4 (+14.6) 63%
Baseline ML RUTG -4.2 (-5.2) 150.8 (+14.2) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -4.1 (-5.1) 151.5 (+13.5) 64%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -4.4 (-5.4) 149.6 (+15.4) 58%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2023 PRIN 6861 RUTG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG PRIN
Overall 15-17 19-11
Conference 8-12 8-6
Home 11-5 9-4
Away 3-8 7-4
Neutral 1-4 3-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.0 72.1
Avg Pts Against 77.6 72.4
Massey 5.8 (#88) 0.7 (#149)
Bradley-Terry 1.17 (#86) 0.83 (#111)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.67 (#88) 0.86 (#119)
RPI 0.557 (#89) 0.529 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG PRIN
FG% 46.2% 45.3%
3PT% 33.9% 38.1%
REB / G 36.4 31.9
OREB / G 10.4 8.0
AST / TO 1.20 1.49
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 54.2%
TOV% 15.7% 15.1%
ORB% 29.6% 23.8%
FT Rate 29.5% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 18.4%
DRB% 69.8% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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