Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NU -290 DEP +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | NU -5.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -11.2 (+8.8) | 140.3 (+7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -7.0 (+13.0) | 138.0 (+10.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.5 (+13.5) | 136.9 (+11.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -9.0 (+11.0) | 138.8 (+9.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | NU 81 – 79 DEP |
| Dec 16, 2023 | NU 56 – 46 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NU 83 – 45 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#64) | 7.8 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#77) | 0.54 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#51) | 0.92 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#66) | 0.516 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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