Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | DEP +195 NU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -9.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (+32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -8.5 (+6.5) | 128.6 (+31.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.2 (+3.2) | 127.3 (+32.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -7.8 (+5.8) | 128.3 (+31.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -5.7 (+3.7) | 131.5 (+28.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2024 | NU 84 – 64 DEP |
| Dec 16, 2023 | NU 56 – 46 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NU 83 – 45 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#249) | 15.9 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#245) | 2.39 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#246) | 3.62 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#265) | 0.634 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 2.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 11.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 39.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 11.2% |
Game Analysis
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