Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +350 NU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +10 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -4.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-43.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.3 (-3.7) | 141.3 (-39.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -3.8 (-6.2) | 144.4 (-42.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -3.8 (-6.2) | 145.6 (-43.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -5.4 (-4.6) | 140.3 (-38.3) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | NU 81 – 79 DEP |
| Dec 21, 2024 | NU 84 – 64 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2022 | NU 83 – 45 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 12-8 |
| Home | 3-15 | 15-2 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#250) | 4.9 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#287) | 1.52 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#274) | 2.69 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#191) | 0.568 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 2.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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