Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | NU -450 DEP +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +38 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | NU -10.4 (+27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -8.2 (+29.8) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -9.0 (+29.0) | 134.6 (-6.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -9.5 (+28.5) | 136.7 (-8.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -9.7 (+28.3) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | NU 81 – 79 DEP |
| Dec 21, 2024 | NU 84 – 64 DEP |
| Dec 16, 2023 | NU 56 – 46 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#78) | 0.7 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#57) | 0.55 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#58) | 0.66 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#73) | 0.556 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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