Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -300 UALB +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -6.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -6.0 (-2.0) | 148.9 (+21.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -6.4 (-2.4) | 150.5 (+19.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -5.9 (-1.9) | 151.7 (+18.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -5.4 (-1.4) | 152.0 (+18.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | FOR 88 – 68 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#191) | -3.3 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#168) | -0.18 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#176) | -0.31 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#186) | 0.491 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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