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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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74–28 on winners spread MAE 10.4 102 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware @ Saint Peter's +4.6 138.8 70% 64–72 ✓
Akron @ Yale +5.4 156.7 72% 58–74 ✓
Holy Cross @ Siena +5.4 133.6 71% 78–70 ✗
Longwood @ North Carolina Central +0.4 140.5 51% 82–67 ✗
App State @ North Texas +12.6 124.8 86% 64–68 ✓
St. John's @ Providence -2.7 142.0 33% 72–70 ✓
Cincinnati @ Dayton +2.6 132.5 56% 66–59 ✗
Jackson State @ UTEP +12.8 139.1 87% 61–67 ✓
Florida A&M @ BYU +27.2 149.5 91% 57–103 ✓
Southern @ Loyola Marymount +3.6 136.4 70% 73–89 ✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech -13.7 138.0 16% 82–56 ✓
North Florida @ Florida +22.9 157.5 90% 45–99 ✓
Marquette @ Xavier -1.9 145.9 35% 72–70 ✓
UConn @ Butler -4.4 144.9 22% 78–74 ✓
South Carolina State @ Northern Kentucky +4.4 136.9 68% 47–58 ✓
SMU @ Boston College -8.6 143.8 23% 103–77 ✓
Vermont @ Dartmouth -0.7 135.5 49% 54–84 ✗
Princeton @ Rutgers +4.4 149.6 58% 83–82 ✗
Penn State @ Drexel -7.8 142.5 20% 75–64 ✓
Chattanooga @ Indiana +13.5 150.9 87% 65–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Maryland +14.9 153.1 89% 60–87 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Saint Joseph's +4.1 138.1 66% 62–82 ✓
Mississippi State @ Memphis +1.1 149.1 43% 79–66 ✗
Fairfield @ Monmouth +3.3 139.8 62% 74–88 ✓
UMBC @ Marist +6.2 143.6 72% 73–76 ✓
Maine @ Stony Brook -3.2 137.5 36% 72–74 ✗
Saint Francis @ Robert Morris +7.8 140.9 83% 77–90 ✓
Navy @ Coppin State -5.6 136.8 23% 60–68 ✗
Lehigh @ Long Island University +1.4 137.7 53% 60–59 ✗
Hampton @ Loyola Maryland +3.5 139.4 61% 76–68 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Central Connecticut +5.6 137.0 69% 80–84 ✓
Manhattan @ Presbyterian +4.9 146.7 69% 86–81 ✗
Niagara @ St. Bonaventure +18.9 129.7 89% 52–71 ✓
Youngstown State @ South Carolina Upstate -8.0 150.5 20% 72–64 ✓
Sam Houston @ Pittsburgh +17.0 156.1 90% 78–110 ✓
Lamar @ Texas Tech +20.8 141.6 89% 57–101 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston +22.0 134.9 90% 51–87 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Michigan State +12.3 155.7 86% 69–86 ✓
Wake Forest @ Clemson +12.3 133.9 86% 62–73 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky +3.1 145.4 64% 91–80 ✗
Louisville @ Florida State +3.0 149.9 59% 90–76 ✗
Boston University @ UMass Lowell +7.7 141.7 79% 71–83 ✓
Chicago State @ Cal State Northridge +18.2 145.8 90% 57–81 ✓
Wright State @ Eastern Michigan -5.6 144.0 39% 82–86 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Bowling Green -3.0 150.7 38% 93–68 ✓
Evansville @ Ball State +3.4 136.6 66% 43–80 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Kansas City -4.2 138.2 33% 66–73 ✗
High Point @ Southern Illinois +2.2 141.9 61% 94–81 ✗
Mercer @ Winthrop +6.4 158.1 80% 97–102 ✓
UNC Asheville @ UNC Wilmington +6.7 147.5 80% 74–85 ✓
UT Arlington @ Liberty +10.3 145.4 82% 56–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Fordham +6.0 148.9 72% 83–87 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Miami +11.3 145.2 81% 78–74 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Minnesota +15.0 140.0 89% 60–74 ✓
James Madison @ South Alabama -0.2 134.0 47% 49–77 ✗
Georgia State @ Troy +11.5 143.9 85% 57–77 ✓
Canisius @ Bradley +20.6 144.4 90% 59–92 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Arkansas +24.1 158.4 91% 67–95 ✓
UC Irvine @ Duquesne -5.5 128.6 39% 54–70 ✗
North Carolina @ UCLA +4.2 145.4 60% 76–74 ✗
UC Davis @ Pepperdine +0.9 141.1 56% 46–85 ✓
UC Riverside @ UNLV +7.1 138.6 71% 53–66 ✓
East Texas A&M @ South Florida +12.2 142.7 86% 62–88 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ East Carolina +4.4 142.8 75% 84–79 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Tulsa +17.9 137.3 90% 48–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt +19.5 141.3 90% 55–85 ✓
Furman @ Harvard -4.1 137.5 29% 77–63 ✓
Marshall @ Southern Miss -2.0 143.6 46% 66–68 ✗
Old Dominion @ UL Monroe +3.8 142.0 53% 80–75 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State +11.5 140.8 87% 67–97 ✓
Bellarmine @ Colorado +22.6 147.1 91% 55–79 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +19.9 132.4 90% 59–77 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Texas State +9.3 144.3 83% 61–83 ✓
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +2.8 148.6 67% 68–74 ✓
Lafayette @ Portland -2.6 144.7 45% 64–74 ✗
Texas Southern @ Abilene Christian +8.5 141.4 84% 65–69 ✓
Central Michigan @ Arizona +21.9 149.4 90% 41–94 ✓
Samford @ Alabama A&M -12.5 162.3 14% 97–90 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Southern Utah +4.6 144.7 62% 83–75 ✗
Idaho @ Pacific +2.6 139.9 65% 95–72 ✗
Washington State @ Northern Iowa -1.1 143.3 47% 76–68 ✓
DePaul @ Northwestern +11.2 140.3 84% 64–84 ✓
Arizona State @ Massachusetts -6.8 149.2 28% 78–62 ✓
Villanova @ Creighton +3.3 147.0 65% 79–86 ✓
Purdue @ Auburn +14.9 148.0 84% 69–87 ✓
UT Martin @ Southern Indiana +3.4 144.0 59% 77–46 ✗
Western Illinois @ Lindenwood +1.0 134.8 56% 65–71 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +0.0 141.5 52% 64–80 ✓
Queens University @ Ole Miss +22.3 150.1 90% 62–80 ✓
South Dakota @ Santa Clara +15.7 162.8 89% 81–98 ✓
Colorado State @ Nevada +10.6 140.2 84% 66–64 ✗
California Baptist @ Fresno State -0.6 150.5 43% 86–69 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Davidson +12.7 141.6 86% 63–76 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Denver -4.6 153.0 30% 82–75 ✓
Kentucky @ Ohio State +0.5 156.5 52% 65–85 ✓
Green Bay @ Drake +21.1 133.1 90% 62–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Florida International +8.2 144.0 78% 69–75 ✓
Montana @ San Francisco +14.5 147.1 88% 67–71 ✓
VMI @ Richmond +9.1 145.2 83% 71–78 ✓
Jacksonville @ UCF +11.9 150.7 85% 66–86 ✓
Utah @ Iowa +2.3 157.7 66% 88–95 ✓
Temple @ Rhode Island +6.4 152.4 79% 79–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.