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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
38–9 on winners
spread MAE 8.1
47 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-7.9 | 148.0 | 20% | 68–50 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.8 | 135.4 | 56% | 69–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.4 | 152.4 | 55% | 65–84 | ✗ |
|
|
-3.5 | 145.3 | 33% | 76–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+28.1 | 158.4 | 91% | 65–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.8 | 141.4 | 54% | 74–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+0.5 | 154.8 | 64% | 82–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.9 | 139.0 | 14% | 77–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.8 | 137.9 | 47% | 64–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.6 | 142.2 | 61% | 59–58 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.8 | 145.6 | 35% | 71–50 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 147.1 | 66% | 65–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.4 | 154.5 | 73% | 80–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+27.7 | 160.2 | 91% | 72–99 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.7 | 147.5 | 87% | 54–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.4 | 151.9 | 91% | 66–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.2 | 152.5 | 86% | 58–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.5 | 137.4 | 83% | 83–90 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.0 | 143.5 | 51% | 65–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.0 | 150.4 | 60% | 78–68 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.2 | 141.7 | 70% | 76–94 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 152.1 | 32% | 80–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 135.8 | 61% | 79–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.8 | 139.1 | 64% | 56–68 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.1 | 135.7 | 90% | 53–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.7 | 151.8 | 91% | 53–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.0 | 140.2 | 84% | 48–74 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.1 | 137.4 | 90% | 46–67 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.6 | 137.9 | 84% | 48–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.5 | 126.2 | 86% | 58–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.5 | 154.8 | 89% | 70–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+18.5 | 144.1 | 89% | 53–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 153.0 | 89% | 46–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.9 | 151.8 | 88% | 74–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-10.1 | 135.3 | 18% | 64–56 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.9 | 149.1 | 89% | 74–86 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.8 | 137.8 | 26% | 74–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+19.9 | 124.4 | 89% | 46–62 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.5 | 154.3 | 91% | 70–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+24.0 | 144.7 | 91% | 65–81 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.1 | 133.4 | 91% | 49–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.1 | 142.3 | 85% | 51–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.0 | 149.1 | 84% | 72–73 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.7 | 134.1 | 88% | 63–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.4 | 130.9 | 27% | 73–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.3 | 131.1 | 35% | 71–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+15.2 | 146.6 | 88% | 62–91 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.