They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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69–26 on winners spread MAE 8.6 95 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland @ Indiana +2.9 137.2 70% 53–65 ✓
Mercer @ Georgia +8.2 135.8 80% 69–80 ✓
Rider @ Siena -7.5 130.0 29% 65–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Niagara -3.7 124.1 29% 72–67 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Manhattan +2.4 142.9 54% 74–75 ✓
Iona @ Fairfield -3.2 146.9 34% 78–67 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Canisius +3.3 148.8 65% 73–93 ✓
George Washington @ South Carolina +6.2 147.5 74% 67–89 ✓
Bryant @ Brown +2.7 148.2 63% 69–66 ✗
Norfolk State @ VCU +11.3 135.1 83% 63–60 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Bethune-Cookman -2.8 144.8 42% 82–96 ✗
St. John's @ West Virginia +0.1 138.6 51% 79–73 ✗
Arkansas State @ Little Rock +6.2 157.7 77% 66–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ UAB +9.2 142.4 72% 85–82 ✗
Towson @ South Dakota State +0.9 125.0 53% 48–61 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU +12.6 144.8 86% 66–73 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Troy +3.7 138.6 70% 60–83 ✓
Iowa State @ DePaul -13.0 140.4 14% 99–80 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -4.4 129.8 36% 88–92 ✗
UConn @ Kansas +2.5 147.6 65% 65–69 ✓
Fresno State @ BYU +18.1 145.7 86% 56–85 ✓
North Dakota @ Cal State Fullerton +3.5 141.5 66% 54–64 ✓
Wyoming @ Portland +2.9 147.8 65% 70–81 ✓
San Diego State @ UC San Diego -9.8 149.2 19% 63–62 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Boise State -0.4 128.1 49% 60–63 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami +13.9 143.7 86% 49–62 ✓
Syracuse @ Virginia +9.0 128.6 80% 62–84 ✓
Bucknell @ Penn State +17.1 140.0 89% 76–67 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis -8.6 141.0 23% 71–55 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +0.1 134.0 52% 64–75 ✓
Georgia State @ Kennesaw State +0.9 157.6 65% 77–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Central Connecticut +10.9 139.2 85% 67–78 ✓
Lehigh @ UMBC +2.3 153.9 50% 87–92 ✓
South Florida @ Massachusetts +12.3 144.2 82% 56–66 ✓
Presbyterian @ VMI +0.9 146.4 44% 75–71 ✗
Florida State @ North Carolina +13.7 159.8 87% 70–78 ✓
Drexel @ Villanova +7.8 128.5 78% 57–55 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ North Texas +26.5 128.8 91% 48–79 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville +6.4 147.0 80% 89–91 ✓
Valparaiso @ Belmont +12.5 151.5 86% 68–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Bradley +2.5 152.0 52% 85–77 ✗
Cornell @ Lafayette -9.0 144.0 18% 79–71 ✓
Saint Francis @ American University +9.5 133.9 81% 75–73 ✗
Bellarmine @ Ball State +4.4 133.4 71% 58–67 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris -1.2 143.8 39% 71–57 ✓
Delaware @ Ohio +4.5 147.3 63% 73–74 ✓
Furman @ Princeton +15.0 147.9 89% 69–70 ✓
North Alabama @ Kansas State +16.7 157.6 89% 74–75 ✓
High Point @ North Florida -3.1 151.6 36% 86–79 ✓
Memphis @ Ole Miss +1.3 141.1 55% 77–80 ✓
Old Dominion @ Northeastern +3.8 142.6 64% 68–81 ✓
The Citadel @ North Carolina A&T -7.3 145.4 24% 85–68 ✓
Boston University @ Sacred Heart +4.0 140.1 61% 70–49 ✗
Grambling @ Dayton +20.8 138.3 90% 46–76 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo -8.1 135.9 17% 80–65 ✓
Binghamton @ Stonehill -3.7 147.7 30% 79–64 ✓
Duke @ Georgia Tech -5.1 146.4 33% 68–72 ✗
Colgate @ Arizona +20.8 141.7 90% 55–82 ✓
San José State @ Montana -1.6 133.2 47% 58–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ Georgia Southern +0.2 146.4 41% 81–79 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina Central +6.8 136.6 68% 85–82 ✗
Wright State @ Davidson +2.7 149.8 59% 73–82 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +10.2 137.2 85% 58–69 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +3.6 147.8 62% 98–77 ✗
Nicholls @ Louisiana Tech +12.7 146.3 85% 55–68 ✓
UT Martin @ McNeese +14.5 148.3 87% 80–91 ✓
Saint Louis @ Southern Illinois +8.2 141.9 80% 62–101 ✓
Wagner @ Stony Brook +5.2 131.6 66% 60–59 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ NJIT -0.8 152.8 40% 71–68 ✓
Michigan @ Oregon +5.2 152.2 74% 83–86 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Kentucky +14.3 153.2 84% 80–73 ✗
Illinois @ Rutgers +3.0 133.2 53% 76–58 ✗
NC State @ Boston College +4.2 144.9 63% 84–78 ✗
Missouri State @ Drake +5.1 143.9 75% 57–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Coastal Carolina -6.3 148.3 26% 90–87 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Northern Colorado +2.0 148.1 60% 71–75 ✓
Bowling Green @ Southern Indiana -2.3 137.2 33% 54–52 ✓
Harvard @ Loyola Chicago -0.9 143.5 49% 53–75 ✗
Lipscomb @ UCF +7.5 152.3 78% 57–72 ✓
Pacific @ Northern Arizona +8.3 137.6 74% 58–78 ✓
Pennsylvania @ La Salle -2.6 150.0 39% 92–93 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Vanderbilt +9.2 143.0 85% 59–78 ✓
Delaware State @ Loyola Maryland +3.2 141.2 57% 79–73 ✗
Houston Christian @ Rice +14.9 151.9 89% 56–65 ✓
Cal Poly @ Idaho +0.1 137.1 62% 70–85 ✓
Portland State @ Washington State +11.3 138.6 82% 61–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +14.2 138.0 87% 75–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Charleston Southern +0.5 137.9 58% 64–66 ✓
TCU @ Georgetown -4.9 154.6 26% 84–83 ✓
Northwestern State @ Baylor +25.1 157.8 90% 40–91 ✓
Charleston @ Florida Atlantic +14.9 149.3 88% 74–90 ✓
William & Mary @ Richmond +14.6 146.4 87% 69–88 ✓
Long Island University @ Florida International +5.5 142.9 81% 59–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Abilene Christian -1.3 143.5 45% 79–74 ✓
Southern Utah @ Seattle U +7.0 141.3 79% 63–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.