Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -125 ILL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -6.4 (-24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -3.0 (-21.0) | 131.9 (+2.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -3.0 (-21.0) | 133.2 (+0.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -3.1 (-21.1) | 130.4 (+3.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -3.9 (-21.9) | 128.7 (+5.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | ILL 81 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RUTG 82 – 73 ILL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ILL 86 – 63 RUTG |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ILL 69 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 17, 2022 | RUTG 70 – 59 ILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#41) | 9.5 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#66) | 1.21 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#52) | 2.21 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#81) | 0.534 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 48.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 37.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
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