Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ILL -6500 RUTG +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +26 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -26.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -23.7 (+2.3) | 145.5 (-9.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -20.1 (+5.9) | 149.4 (-13.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -20.7 (+5.3) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -23.1 (+2.9) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | RUTG 82 – 73 ILL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ILL 86 – 63 RUTG |
| Dec 2, 2023 | ILL 76 – 58 RUTG |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ILL 69 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 17, 2022 | RUTG 70 – 59 ILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILL | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 22.0 (#8) | -1.2 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#14) | 0.19 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.99 (#14) | -0.04 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#23) | 0.496 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILL | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 42.4 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 39.9% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.