Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -6.9 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -2.5 (+13.5) | 135.7 (-6.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -3.5 (+14.5) | 135.6 (-6.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -2.9 (+13.9) | 137.0 (-8.0) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -3.3 (+14.3) | 136.7 (-7.7) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | ILL 81 – 55 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2025 | RUTG 82 – 73 ILL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ILL 86 – 63 RUTG |
| Dec 2, 2023 | ILL 76 – 58 RUTG |
| Feb 11, 2023 | ILL 69 – 60 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#85) | 16.3 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#62) | 2.75 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#53) | 3.26 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#91) | 0.612 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | ILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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