Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | PORT -138 WYO +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -5.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -2.9 (+8.1) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -4.1 (+6.9) | 144.0 (+7.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -3.5 (+7.5) | 146.0 (+5.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -2.7 (+8.3) | 146.7 (+4.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | WYO 93 – 56 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#195) | -0.6 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#251) | 1.19 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#232) | 1.69 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.589 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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