Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WYO -750 PORT +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +37 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -13.4 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -10.9 (+26.1) | 141.3 (+7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -11.6 (+25.4) | 144.8 (+4.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -12.2 (+24.8) | 144.4 (+4.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -9.5 (+27.5) | 148.9 (+0.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | PORT 81 – 70 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#156) | -4.0 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#72) | 1.34 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#63) | 2.10 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#56) | 0.667 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 36.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.1% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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