Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -100000 NWST +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +51 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -30.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.0 (-37.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -25.1 (+25.9) | 157.8 (-26.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -23.5 (+27.5) | 157.5 (-26.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -27.4 (+23.6) | 159.2 (-28.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -28.4 (+22.6) | 156.1 (-25.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | BAY 58 – 48 NWST |
| Dec 29, 2021 | BAY 104 – 68 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#13) | -8.8 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#11) | -3.00 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.92 (#10) | -3.99 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#20) | 0.329 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 48.7% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 36.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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