Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -39.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +36 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -39.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -28.3 (+7.7) | 152.6 (+19.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -25.6 (+10.4) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -34.7 (+1.3) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -35.3 (+0.7) | 149.8 (+22.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | BAY 91 – 40 NWST |
| Dec 21, 2022 | BAY 58 – 48 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 21.7 (#3) | -13.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.75 (#1) | -2.59 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.26 (#1) | -3.44 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#23) | 0.466 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 39.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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