What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · December 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money RMU +175 / YSU -163
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual YSU +14 128 Lost
Massey RMU -1.4 (-15.4) — —
Massey Totals — 145.7 (-17.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 22% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 11% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -1.2 (-12.8) 143.8 (-15.8) 39% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -0.6 (-13.4) 143.5 (-15.5) 46% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -0.1 (-13.9) 144.6 (-16.6) 47% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -0.6 (-13.4) 145.7 (-17.7) 47% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 68 – 53 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 80 – 77 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 89 – 78 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 72 – 70 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU YSU
Overall 10-22 22-10
Conference 6-14 14-6
Home 7-9 14-3
Away 3-13 8-7
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 72.2 78.4
Avg Pts Against 77.4 72.4
Massey -5.0 (#264) -0.2 (#174)
Bradley-Terry -1.98 (#315) 0.56 (#135)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.70 (#307) 0.90 (#131)
RPI 0.376 (#333) 0.512 (#157)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU YSU
FG% 41.6% 41.5%
3PT% 32.8% 30.8%
REB / G 29.7 38.4
OREB / G 10.0 11.4
AST / TO 0.68 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.1% 47.3%
TOV% 22.1% 15.7%
ORB% 29.3% 29.8%
FT Rate 27.8% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.3% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 14.8%
DRB% 65.9% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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