Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -500 UTM +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +11 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -22.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -14.5 (-3.5) | 148.3 (+22.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -17.2 (-6.2) | 156.8 (+14.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -18.2 (-7.2) | 152.9 (+18.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -18.1 (-7.1) | 152.2 (+18.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2022 | UTM 86 – 83 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 14-4 |
| Home | 18-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 11-3 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#23) | -3.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#24) | 0.04 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#23) | -0.67 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#16) | 0.498 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 43.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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