Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UTM -450 MCN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -16.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -9.6 (-6.6) | 142.3 (+26.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -11.1 (-8.1) | 141.6 (+27.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -11.8 (-8.8) | 141.7 (+27.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -10.6 (-7.6) | 140.1 (+28.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | MCN 91 – 80 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#241) | -13.1 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#282) | -2.89 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#294) | -4.65 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#291) | 0.371 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.