Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -188 WRST +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -4.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -2.7 (+6.3) | 149.8 (+5.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -4.0 (+5.0) | 152.8 (+2.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -3.8 (+5.2) | 153.0 (+2.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -3.2 (+5.8) | 149.5 (+5.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2022 | DAV 102 – 97 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | 3.8 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#120) | 0.37 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#115) | 1.99 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#146) | 0.534 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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