Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -1400 COFC +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +16 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -22.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -14.9 (+1.1) | 149.3 (+14.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -17.3 (-1.3) | 148.3 (+15.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -18.5 (-2.5) | 148.5 (+15.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -19.1 (-3.1) | 148.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | FAU 94 – 77 COFC |
| Nov 16, 2024 | COFC 119 – 116 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#8) | 0.6 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#25) | 1.20 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#27) | 1.85 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.680 (#9) | 0.558 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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