Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -130 FAU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +3 | 235 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -3.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.8 (+62.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -2.2 (+0.8) | 153.9 (+81.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -4.2 (-1.2) | 162.0 (+73.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.3 (-2.3) | 162.6 (+72.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -4.7 (-1.7) | 168.8 (+66.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | FAU 94 – 77 COFC |
| Dec 2, 2023 | FAU 90 – 74 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#96) | 9.0 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#67) | 0.24 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#65) | 0.44 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#105) | 0.552 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 43.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 60.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 39.1% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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