Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | USI +230 BGSU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +2 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -0.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -2.3 (+0.3) | 137.2 (-31.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -2.1 (+0.1) | 136.9 (-30.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.1 (+1.1) | 134.6 (-28.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.1 (+1.1) | 140.2 (-34.2) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2022 | USI 69 – 57 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#309) | -0.8 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.72 (#361) | 0.01 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -7.96 (#362) | -0.41 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.328 (#353) | 0.441 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 12.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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