Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BALL +100 BELL +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +9 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -3.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -3.2 (+5.8) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -3.5 (+5.5) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -3.6 (+5.4) | 134.5 (-9.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -4.4 (+4.6) | 133.4 (-8.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | BALL 86 – 82 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#270) | -2.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#179) | -0.75 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#211) | -0.52 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#179) | 0.456 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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