Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +130 BALL -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -0.9 (-4.9) | 145.9 (+22.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -1.4 (-5.4) | 146.1 (+21.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -1.6 (-5.6) | 144.2 (+23.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -0.8 (-4.8) | 143.9 (+24.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | BALL 67 – 58 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 0-16 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -11.3 (#339) | -8.4 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#355) | -2.09 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.04 (#352) | -3.49 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.313 (#362) | 0.360 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 27.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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