Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +110 JAX -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -0.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -0.2 (-2.2) | 146.4 (+13.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -2.0 (-0.0) | 147.3 (+12.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -1.1 (-0.9) | 149.3 (+10.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.7 (-1.3) | 148.6 (+11.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | JAX 85 – 68 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#345) | -6.0 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.04 (#350) | 0.12 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.13 (#342) | -0.13 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.335 (#345) | 0.464 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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