Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -138 GAST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -2.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.9 (+10.1) | 157.6 (+7.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -0.9 (+11.9) | 156.4 (+8.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -2.0 (+13.0) | 156.8 (+8.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -2.5 (+13.5) | 158.5 (+6.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | KENN 92 – 69 GAST |
| Dec 7, 2024 | KENN 81 – 77 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#267) | 3.2 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#268) | 0.76 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#272) | 0.93 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#292) | 0.534 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 38.4% |
Game Analysis
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