Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -145 KENN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | KENN -0.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -1.0 (-5.0) | 148.8 (+9.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -0.6 (-4.6) | 146.5 (+11.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -0.5 (-4.5) | 148.2 (+9.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -1.1 (-5.1) | 147.7 (+10.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | KENN 92 – 69 GAST |
| Dec 2, 2023 | KENN 88 – 77 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#241) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#230) | 0.91 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#255) | 1.10 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#223) | 0.571 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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